Exclusives | Europe

Russia’s budget deficit may almost triple this year as oil revenues decline 

4 February 2026, 8:28 am
1 min read
FILE PHOTO: Russian-flagged oil tanker MIDVOLGA-2 transits Bosphorus in Istanbul, Turkey, August 15, 2022. REUTERS/Yoruk Isik/File Photo

Russia’s public deficit could balloon to almost triple the official target by end-2026 as a fall in Indian purchases of oil and growing oil trade discounts eat into revenues while spending may be higher than expected, a source close to the government told Reuters. 

Why it matters

The source cited calculations by economists from a government-linked think tank, which are not planned for publication. They are the latest sign of growing strains on a Russian economy facing sanctions, high interest rates and labour shortages.

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